BETTING GUIDE: Lazio vs Bologna, Match Preview, Team News and Prediction
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Reading Time: 5min | Sat. 06.12.25. | 14:54
Lazio have won their last three Serie A home games without conceding and have posted eight clean sheets in their last 10 fixtures across all competitions at the Olimpico
Lazio return to the Stadio Olimpico seeking a response when they host high-flying Bologna in what has become one of the most intriguing Serie A fixtures of the weekend.
With both sides coming off league defeats but buoyed by midweek Coppa Italia victories, Sunday’s encounter arrives at a crucial point in their seasons.
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Lazio’s campaign has been a mixture of inconsistency and resilience, and Maurizio Sarri’s team enter the round with five league wins and five losses, marking their second-lowest points tally at this stage of a season in over a decade.
Yet the Biancocelesti’s impressive home form remains their biggest lifeline, and with 72% of their total points earned at the Olimpico, they know this fixture presents an opportunity to steady their top-six ambitions.
Bologna, meanwhile, travel to the capital eager to bounce back after their surprising 3-1 defeat to Cremonese, a result that ended their impressive 12-match unbeaten streak across all competitions.
Still sitting above Lazio in the standings and backed by an efficient attack that has produced the most away goals in Serie A this season, Vincenzo Italiano’s men remain one of the division’s standout sides.
Their Coppa Italia victory over Parma restored confidence, and extending their strong away form now becomes essential to maintaining their European momentum.
Lazio’s season has been defined by home solidity and away vulnerability.
The 1-0 loss to AC Milan last weekend highlighted their struggle to turn solid structures into consistent results, yet their midweek victory over the same opponent in the Coppa Italia added a renewed sense of belief.
Lazio have won their last three Serie A home games without conceding and have posted eight clean sheets in their last 10 fixtures across all competitions at the Olimpico.
It is a record that reinforces the narrative that while Sarri’s side may not always dazzle, they remain incredibly difficult to break down on home soil.
Bologna enter the tie with a league form that reads D-D-W-W-W-L, reflecting both their attacking edge and their defensive discipline under Italiano.
Their defeat to Cremonese was the first time this season they had been outplayed at home, but the Rossoblù have been excellent on their travels.
Ahead of matchday 14, Bologna had scored 12 goals away from home - the highest in Serie A - and have gone five consecutive league matches on the road without defeat.
Their resilience, ability to control tempo, and tactical fluidity under Italiano make them a genuine top-four challenger.
Sarri is working under familiar constraints, with Lazio’s limited squad depth further stretched by absences and a lingering transfer ban.
Samuel Gigot, Nicolo Rovella and Danilo Cataldi remain sidelined, though Matteo Cancellieri has returned to full training and may feature from the bench.
Taty Castellanos, who recently returned after a long layoff, is expected to lead the line again after starting in the midweek cup win, supported by Mattia Zaccagni and Gustav Isaksen.
With Provedel in goal and a backline that has rediscovered solidity, Lazio are likely to keep their core structure unchanged.
Bologna arrives with their own injury concerns.
First-choice goalkeeper Lukasz Skorupski is ruled out, alongside defenders Martin Vitik and Remo Freuler.
Italiano is expected to rotate once more due to the December fixture congestion, with Riccardo Orsolini - Serie A’s highest scorer in 2025 - set to return to the starting lineup after being rested.
Santiago Castro, fresh from netting the winner against Parma and having scored against Lazio last season, should lead the line. With Odgaard, Cambiaghi and Ferguson all available, Bologna’s attacking options remain dangerous despite the absences.
Lazio will approach this match with their usual 4-3-3 shape, prioritising compactness, controlled buildup, and structured pressing. Sarri’s side have leaned heavily on discipline in recent matches, especially at home, where their defensive shape has been immaculate.
Expect Lazio to attempt to dominate possession, channel play through Guendouzi and Vecino, and rely on Zaccagni’s creativity between the lines. Their main intention will be to impose territorial control early while avoiding transitions - an area where Bologna excels.
Bologna, under Italiano, are one of Italy’s most tactically dynamic teams.
They deploy a fluid 4-2-3-1 that morphs into a 3-2-5 in possession, maximising width and exploiting half-spaces. With Orsolini drifting inside and full-backs providing constant overlaps, Bologna will look to stretch Lazio’s backline.
Their intention will be to press Lazio aggressively in midfield, win turnovers, and attack quickly before the hosts can reorganise. Having averaged over two goals away from home, Bologna will not shy away from playing on the front foot despite Lazio’s defensive strength.
Lazio home form: W-W-W – all with clean sheets, 13 points earned at home this season
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Bologna away form: unbeaten in the last five away league matches, the highest away scorers in Serie A (12 goals).
Stadio Olimpico has historically favoured Lazio, who have scored more Serie A home goals (133) against Bologna than against any other club.
The home side on the day has lost just once in the last 14 competitive meetings, and Lazio have won five of their last six at home against the Rossoblù.
However, Bologna have won three of the last four overall league meetings, showing that Italiano’s side have closed the gap.
Key pointers
• Lazio have won their last three Serie A home matches without conceding
• In Lazio’s last eight competitive games, the away team has not scored
• Seven of Bologna’s last eight matches have been level at half-time
• Bologna are the highest away scorers in Serie A this season
With Lazio transformed into clean-sheet specialists at home and Bologna boasting one of the league’s most balanced attacking units, this matchup promises a tense tactical battle rather than an open, end-to-end affair.
Lazio’s defensive stability meets Bologna’s away scoring streak, but Sarri’s side often rises in matches requiring discipline. Given both teams’ form and their contrasting strengths, a stalemate appears the most realistic outcome.
Prediction: Draw
Disclaimer: Whilst we do our utmost to offer good advice and information, we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling.Disclaimer: Whilst we do our utmost to offer good advice and information, we cannot be held responsible for any loss that may be incurred as a result of gambling.
