
BETTING GUIDE: AS Roma Vs Napoli, match preview, team news and prediction
Reading Time: 5min | Sun. 30.11.25. | 12:36
Roma enter the league round sitting second with 27 points after 12 matches. Their resurgence under Gian Piero Gasperini has reenergized the club and fan base, the Giallorossi know a victory over Napoli would represent more than just three points - it would be a statement of title credibility
AS Roma will look to strengthen their hold on top spot in Serie A as they welcome defending champions Napoli in a high-stakes Derby del Sole at the Stadio Olimpico.
Roma enter the league round sitting second with 27 points after 12 matches.
Their resurgence under Gian Piero Gasperini has reenergized the club and fan base, the Giallorossi know a victory over Napoli would represent more than just three points - it would be a statement of title credibility.
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Napoli, however, find themselves in unfamiliar territory after a stuttering series of results.
Having slipped down to third, they remain firmly in the title hunt but can ill-afford further dropped points given the congestion at the top of the table.
Roma’s rise has been driven by consistency, resilience, and a compact tactical structure.
Their latest outing - a 2–1 win over Midtjylland in the Europa League - extended their strong run to six victories in their last seven matches.
Their return home to Serie A action comes with confidence, especially after back-to-back league wins over Cremonese and Udinese demonstrated their growing maturity in controlling matches.
Roma have scored at least twice in five of their last six games and have not conceded more than once in any of their last seven outings, showing a balanced blend of offensive sharpness and defensive solidity.
However, they have faltered against top-four rivals this season - losing to AC Milan and another contender earlier in the campaign - highlighting a recurring issue of performing against high-tier opponents.
Napoli, meanwhile, will arrive in Rome with a mixed but improving form line.
After back-to-back setbacks against Como and Bologna, the champions rediscovered their rhythm with a convincing 3–1 win over Atalanta in Serie A, followed by a controlled 2–0 Champions League victory against Qarabag.
Antonio Conte’s men now carry momentum, but the primary concern remains their away form, which has collapsed into a worrying pattern. Napoli have lost five of their last six competitive away matches, scoring only once from open play during that stretch.
Their only win on the road came against struggling Lecce, raising legitimate doubts about their mentality and tactical discipline away from home. Moreover, their lengthy injury list exacerbates their problems, particularly with Kevin De Bruyne and Frank Zambo Anguissa sidelined, stripping the midfield of its creativity and physical presence.
Tactically, Roma are expected to continue with their established 3-4-2-1 system, which allows them to dominate central spaces, transition quickly, and shift their defensive block efficiently. Paulo Dybala’s return adds renewed playmaking flair, while Matias Soulé has been an influential force with his versatility and creativity, contributing goals and assists across multiple attacking roles.
With Evan Ferguson finally breaking his goal-scoring drought last week, Roma now have a focal point capable of stretching Napoli’s back line. In the absence of Artem Dovbyk, the fluidity of the front three becomes even more crucial, with Lorenzo Pellegrini expected to dictate tempo between the lines. Roma’s wing play - through Zeki Çelik and likely Leonardo Spinazzola - will be essential in disrupting Napoli’s shape, especially against a defence missing key personnel.
Napoli, under Conte, will rely on their structured 3-4-3 shape as well, emphasizing disciplined organisation, quick wing-back transitions, and midfield compactness.
Scott McTominay, their joint top scorer, becomes a crucial figure in the absence of De Bruyne, capable of playing box-to-box or in an advanced role as required.
His late runs and goal threat provide Napoli with unpredictability, especially in tight games.
However, the major worry is the lack of firepower with Romelu Lukaku still unavailable.
The burden will fall on wingers David Neres and Noa Lang to create chances, while Rasmus Højlund remains their most viable outlet to find goals, particularly in late-game scenarios as shown by four of his last six goals arriving after the 70th minute.
Napoli will look to exploit Roma on the counterattack, especially targeting defensive gaps whenever the Giallorossi fullbacks push high.
Head-to-head trends heavily favour the visitors, with Napoli unbeaten in ten of the last eleven Serie A meetings and recording six wins during that period. Roma have managed just one victory in their last ten encounters with the champions.
However, recent clashes at the Stadio Olimpico have been far more competitive, with Roma unbeaten in their last two home encounters against Napoli, including a 2–0 victory in December 2023 and a 1–1 draw earlier this year.
Historically, this fixture tends to be tight, with four of the last six meetings producing under 2.5 goals.
Given how disciplined both teams have been defensively this season, another cagey battle is plausible, though Roma’s attacking surge offers the potential for a higher-scoring matchup.
Roma’s home form has been outstanding, highlighted by three straight victories at the Olimpico.
Their ability to grow stronger in second halves - having scored five of their seven home league goals after the interval - demonstrates improved conditioning and tactical adjustments from Gasperini.
Napoli’s away form stands in complete contrast; their five defeats in six away matches reflect vulnerability both mentally and structurally. Their struggles to score away from home have become increasingly pronounced, and the inability to convert possession into chances is magnified against well-drilled home sides like Roma.
On the team news front, Roma will miss Ángelino and Dovbyk, but their returning playmakers offer significant boosts. Napoli are dealing with a heavier list of absentees, including their first-choice goalkeeper Meret, defenders Gutierrez and Rrahmani, and midfield pillars Anguissa and De Bruyne.
This loss of depth puts added stress on Conte’s side, especially given the physical demands of away fixtures and the tactical workload he places on his wingbacks and midfielders.
Key Pointers
• Napoli have lost five of their last six away matches.
• Roma have won six of their last seven competitive matches.
• Napoli are winless in their last two away games against Roma.
• Four of Roma’s last seven home league goals came after halftime.
• Napoli have failed to score from open play away in Serie A since September.
• Only one of Napoli’s last six matches saw both teams score.
• Roma have not conceded more than once in seven straight matches.
Roma’s momentum, home advantage, and superior recent form position them strongly heading into this contest.
Their defensive solidity, combined with the return of creative players like Dybala and Soulé, gives them the attacking superiority needed to break down a Napoli side struggling heavily on the road.
Napoli’s extensive injury list, combined with their inability to perform in away fixtures, places them at a significant disadvantage. While Napoli remain dangerous on their day and historically strong in this fixture, the current dynamics suggest Roma have the clearer path to victory.
Prediction; Roma Win
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